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  • Todd Peters

Unique Research - Will the Past Be Prologue?

Updated: Sep 1, 2021


NS Capital Investment Committee

Election years are fraught with emotion and uncertainty surrounding the candidates and their predicted effects on the economy and the markets. This election looks like it will be a doozy. So with everything that is going on, should we think differently about our investments?


A lengthy history of empirical evidence suggests not.


“But this election has to be different!”, you say? Not so fast.


Just go back to 2016 and remember everything that was going on during the lead up to the election. The uniform prediction by Wall Street analysts had the markets selling off dramatically if Trump were elected.


Here is the data to help you decide.

Presidential Political Party

Comparing Election Years

Source: https://image.e-vanguard.com/lib/fe9813727561007d70/m/4/6d96da49-c5fb-4f39-8a87-875f4c5ea870.pdf